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国家自然科学基金(40775036)

作品数:6 被引量:32H指数:2
相关作者:崔晓鹏赵宇许小峰更多>>
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发文基金:国家自然科学基金国家重点基础研究发展计划中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所开放基金更多>>
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2007年7月江淮流域降水过程云分辨尺度模拟研究——数值模拟及验证被引量:2
2010年
利用美国Goddard中心的云分辨尺度模式,对2007年7月2—9日江淮流域的一次暴雨过程进行了高分辨率的模拟研究。首先利用NCAR/NCEP再分析资料、地面降水观测以及卫星云图等常规和非常规观测资料,对此次降水过程开展了天气尺度分析,对过程降水特点有了初步了解;进而利用NCAR/NCEP再分析资料形成云模式大尺度强迫场,对降水过程开展了长度约8天的高分辨率数值模拟。通过观测与模拟的地面雨强以及雷达反射率等的对比分析发现,模式很好地模拟出了此次强降水过程的时空分布和演变特征,以及主要的雷达回波结构特点,模拟结果可用于进一步针对江淮流域地面强降水过程细致的定量诊断分析研究。
许凤雯许小峰刘文明崔晓鹏王志
关键词:江淮流域暴雨
对流涡度矢量和湿涡度矢量在暴雨诊断中的应用研究
本文利用Gaoetal.(2004,2005,2007)提出的两个新矢量(对流涡度矢量((ζa×▽θe)/ρ,CVV)和湿涡度矢量((ζa×▽qv)/ρ,MVV))对华北地区一次大范围的大到暴雨天气过程进行了诊断研究。结...
赵宇崔晓鹏
关键词:暴雨
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EFFECTS OF SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE AND ITS DIURNAL VARIATION ON DIURNAL VARIATION OF RAINFALL:A PARTITIONING ANALYSIS BASED ON SURFACE RAINFALL BUDGET被引量:1
2012年
The effects of sea surface temperature(SST) and its diurnal variation on diurnal variation of rainfall are examined in this study by analyzing a series of equilibrium cloud-resolving model experiments which are imposed with zero large-scale vertical velocity.The grid rainfall simulation data are categorized into eight rainfall types based on rainfall processes including water vapor convergence/divergence,local atmospheric drying/moistening,and hydrometeor loss/convergence or gain/divergence.The rainfall contributions of the rainfall types with water vapor convergence are insensitive to the increase in SST from 27°C to 29°C during the nighttime,whereas they are decreased during the daytime.The rainfall contributions of the rainfall types with water vapor convergence are decreased as the SST increases from 29°C to 31°C but the decreases are larger during the nighttime than during the daytime.The rainfall contributions of the rainfall types with water vapor convergence are decreased by the inclusion of diurnal variation of SST with diurnal difference of 1°C during the nighttime,but the decreases are significantly slowed down as the diurnal difference of SST increases from 1°C to 2°C.The rainfall contributions of the rainfall types with water vapor convergence are insensitive to the inclusion of diurnal variation of SST during the daytime.
崔晓鹏李小凡
对流涡度矢量和湿涡度矢量在暴雨诊断分析中的应用研究被引量:19
2009年
利用对流涡度矢量(CVV,(ζa×θe)/ρ)和湿涡度矢量(MVV,(ζa×qv)/ρ)对华北地区一次大范围的大到暴雨天气过程进行了诊断研究。结果表明,CVV和MVV垂直分量与云和降水密切相关,暴雨区区域平均和垂直积分的CVV和MVV垂直分量与云中水凝物混合比的相关系数分别为0.92和0.95,与降水率的相关系数分别为0.71和0.47。云中水凝物分为液态水凝物和固态水凝物,虽然固态水凝物的含量相对较少,但它在云的变化中起着更重要的作用。滞后相关分析表明,降水率的峰值到来之前4—5 h云中水凝物含量最少,降水率的峰值到来之后1—2 h,云中水凝物含量最多。云中水凝物与降水率的滞后相关系数主要是由液态水凝物与降水率的滞后相关系数决定的,只有约1/4的滞后相关系数是由固态水凝物与降水率的滞后相关系数贡献的。CVV和MVV的垂直分量与云中水凝物具有非常好的相关性(同时及滞后),与降水率的相关也较好,可以代表云和对流系统的发展。CVV和MVV垂直分量的局地变化超前降水率3 h左右,可以作为降水发生的先兆,对降水的预报有潜在的意义。CVV垂直分量的局地变化与降水率的相关系数大于MVV垂直分量的局地变化与降水率的相关系数,因此在实际预报中可以利用CVV垂直分量的局地变化来估计未来降水的变化。
赵宇崔晓鹏
关键词:暴雨
Thermal aspect of the diurnal variation of tropical convective and stratiform rainfall被引量:1
2011年
The diurnal variation of radiation plays a key role in determining the diurnal variations of tropical oceanic con- vective and stratiform rainfall, and the examination of such a relationship requires a direct link between the radiation term in a heat budget and the surface rain rate in a cloud budget. Thus, the thermally related surface rainfall budgets derived from the combination of cloud and heat budgets are analysed with two-dimensional equilibrium cloud-resolving model simulation data to study the effects of sea surface temperature (SST) and cloud radiative, and microphysical processes on the diurnal variations of convective and stratiform rainfall. The results show that the increase in SST, the inclusion of diurnal variation of SST and the exclusion of cloud radiative processes increase negative diurnal anomalies of heat divergence over rainfall-free regions during the nighttime through changing the vertical structures of diurnal anomaly of radiation in the troposphere. The strengthened negative diurnal anomalies of heat divergence over rainfall- free regions enhance positive diurnal anomalies of heat divergence over convective regions, which intensifies the positive diurnal anomaly of convective rainfall. The exclusion of microphysical effects of ice clouds increases the negative diurnal anomaly of heat divergence over rainfall-free regions during the nighttime through reducing latent heat; this appears to enhance the positive diurnal anomaly of heat divergence over raining stratiform regions, and thus stratiform rMnfall.
崔晓鹏李小凡
A CLOUD-RESOLVING MODELING STUDY OF SURFACE RAINFALL PROCESSES ASSOCIATED WITH LANDFALLING TYPHOON KAEMI(2006)被引量:8
2009年
The detailed surface rainfall processes associated with landfalling typhoon Kaemi(2006) are investigated based on hourly data from a two-dimensional cloud-resolving model simulation. The model is integrated for 6 days with imposed large-scale vertical velocity, zonal wind, horizontal temperature and vapor advection from National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) / Global Data Assimilation System (GDAS) data. The simulation data are validated with observations in terms of surface rain rate. The Root-Mean-Squared (RMS) difference in surface rain rate between the simulation and the gauge observations is 0.660 mm h^-1, which is smaller than the standard deviations of both the simulated rain rate (0.753 mm h^-1) and the observed rain rate (0.833 mm h^-1). The simulation data are then used to study the physical causes associated with the detailed surface rainfall processes during the landfall. The results show that time averaged and model domain-mean Ps mainly comes from large-scale convergence (QWVF) and local vapor loss (positive QWVT). Large underestimation (about 15%) of Ps will occur if QWVT and QCM (cloud source/sink) are not considered as contributors to Ps ,QWVF accounts for the variation of P during most of the integration time, while it is not always a contributor to Ps,Sometimes surface rainfall could occur when divergence is dominant with local vapor loss to be a contributor to Ps - Surface rainfall is a result ofmulti-timescale interactions. QWVE possesses the longest time scale and the lowest frequeney the second and QCM of variation with time and may exert impact on P on longer time scales. QWVF possesses longest time scale and lowest frequency and can explain most of the variation of Ps. QWVT possess shorter time scales and higher frequencies, which can explain more detailed variations in Ps. Partitioning analysis shows that stratiform rainfall is dominant from the morning of 26 July till the late night of 27 July. After that, convective rainfall dominate
崔晓鹏许凤雯
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